Coronavirus trend: The pandemic is far from over | Science| In-depth reporting on science and technology | DW | 23.10.2020
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Data analysis

Coronavirus trend: The pandemic is far from over

Most countries are reporting more and more new COVID-19 cases every day: Data for the global picture shows that the pandemic is far from over. DW's weekly statistics update.

These charts and this article are updated every Friday between 11 a.m. and 1 p.m. UTC. Last updated: October 23, 2020.

What's the current global trend?

The goal for all countries is to make it to the blue part of the chart and stay there. Countries and territories in this section have reported no new cases for four weeks in a row.

Currently, that is the case for six out of 210 countries and territories.

Data visualization: COVID-19 global new case numbers trend - calendar week 43

Please note: The number of newly reported cases highly depends on a country's ability to conduct tests and its strategy for administering tests. Additionally, some countries have been criticized for not accurately reporting case numbers.

How has the COVID-19 trend evolved over the past weeks?

The situation has deteriorated significantly: 126 countries have reported more cases in the past two weeks, compared to the previous 14 days.

Data visualization: COVID-19 global new case numbers trend - until calendar week 43

What is the current COVID-19 trend in my country?

Based on the newly reported case numbers — which can reflect local outbreaks as well as countrywide spread — in the past 28 days, countries and territories classify as follows:

Data visualization: COVID-19 global new case numbers trend - map calendar week 43

More than twice as many new cases:

  • Asia: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Cyprus, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Mongolia
  • Africa: Djibouti, Kenya
  • Americas: Cayman Islands, Saint Lucia
  • Europe: Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Poland, Portugal, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Switzerland
  • Oceania: French Polynesia, Northern Mariana Islands

More new cases:

  • Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Brunei Darussalam, China, Iran, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Laos, Lebanon, Myanmar, Nepal, Qatar, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Syria, Taiwan, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Vietnam
  • Africa: Algeria, Angola, Benin, Cape Verde, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Eritrea, Guinea, Liberia, Libya, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Morocco, Niger, Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, South Africa, South Sudan, Togo, Tunisia, Zambia, Zimbabwe
  • Americas: Argentina, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Canada, Colombia, Costa Rica, Curacao, El Salvador, Greenland, Grenada, Honduras, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, United States of America, Uruguay
  • Europe: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Denmark, Finland, France, Gibraltar, Greece, Guernsey, Vatican, Hungary, Iceland, Jersey, Lithuania, Norway, Romania, Russia, San Marino, Spain, Sweden, Ukraine, United Kingdom
  • Oceania: Australia, Fiji, Guam, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea

About the same number of new cases (no change or plus/minus two percent):

  • Asia: Pakistan, Timor Leste
  • Africa: Nigeria, Seychelles
  • Americas: Belize, Panama
  • Europe: Montenegro

Fewer new cases:

  • Asia: Bahrain, Bhutan, Cambodia, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Maldives, Oman, Palestinian territories, Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Tajikistan, Thailand, Uzbekistan
  • Africa: Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, Eswatini, Ethiopia, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea Bissau, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Senegal, Somalia, Sudan, Uganda
  • Americas: Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Brazil, Chile, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Guatemala, Guyana, Haiti, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Paraguay, Peru, Puerto Rico, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, US Virgin Islands, Venezuela
  • Europe: Estonia, Faroe Islands, Isle of Man, Moldova
  • Oceania: New Caledonia

Less than half as many new cases:

  • Asia: Israel, Singapore, Yemen
  • Africa: Central African Republic, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Lesotho, Madagascar, Sierra Leone
  • Americas: Bolivia, Bonaire, Saint Eustatius and Saba, Dominica, Turks and Caicos islands


Zero new cases four weeks in a row:

  • Africa: Tanzania, Western Sahara
  • Americas: Anguilla, Falkland Islands (Malvinas), Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis

If you have questions regarding the analysis, please refer to the project's Github repository for code and methodology. For feedback regarding the charts, please contact: [email protected]
The charts in this article were inspired by the work of Lisa Charlotte Rost of Datawrapper.

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